What should crypto traders watch around the US Nonfarm Payrolls for September 2026?

Non-farm payroll change against the 89K consensus forecast; Unemployment rate against the 4.1% consensus forecast; Average hourly earnings against the 0.3% consensus forecast.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, on bls.gov.

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US Employment Situation Report (Nonfarm Payrolls) for September 2026

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the September 2026 Employment Situation report on Friday, October 2, 2026 at 8:30 am ET.

Friday, October 2, 2026 12:30 UTC

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About this event

The report for September 2026 contains the non-farm employment change, average hourly earnings and the unemployment rate. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes it monthly at 8:30 am ET on Friday, October 2, 2026, which is 12:30 UTC.

Payroll figures come from a monthly survey of individual worksites at businesses and government agencies. The unemployment rate comes from a separate monthly survey of about 60,000 eligible households and is the share of the labor force that is unemployed.

Why it matters

Consensus forecasts put the non-farm employment change at 89K, compared with the previous reading of 162K, while the unemployment rate is expected to hold at 4.1%. The release comes before the first FOMC interest rate decision after it, on October 28, 2026.

Key facts

ReleaseEmployment Situation

Published byU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Frequencymonthly

Reference periodSeptember 2026

Release time2026-10-02 8:30 am ET (12:30 UTC)

Average Hourly Earnings m/m (consensus forecast)0.3%

Average Hourly Earnings m/m (previous)0.3%

Non-Farm Employment Change (consensus forecast)89K

Non-Farm Employment Change (previous)162K

Unemployment Rate (consensus forecast)4.1%

Unemployment Rate (previous)4.1%

What to watch

1Non-farm payroll change against the 89K consensus forecast
2Unemployment rate against the 4.1% consensus forecast
3Average hourly earnings against the 0.3% consensus forecast

U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsSource: bls.gov