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Comparing crypto and stock market volatility fairly

Compare crypto and stock volatility with one measure, one date range, and one data source, then adjust for 24/7 trading versus market hours.

Vahe HakobyanVahe HakobyanEditor-in-chief Updated Oct 6, 20263 min readFact-checked
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Illustration: World-Crypt
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Key takeaways
  • Standard deviation of daily returns is one common volatility measure.
  • Compare large-cap crypto with broad stock indices, not tiny coins with single stocks.
  • Volatility measures price swings and does not predict future risk or returns.

Short answer

Crypto generally swings more than stocks, but a fair comparison uses the same volatility measure, date range, and data source. Adjust for crypto trading around the clock while stock markets keep set hours.

Volatility is the size and speed of price changes in an asset. You need price history and one calculation method for both assets.

What to gather before you start

Pick one volatility measure and use it for both assets. A common choice is the standard deviation of daily returns. Use the same date range and data source for both.

Gather these items first

  • Choose one measure, such as standard deviation of daily returns.
  • Select the same start and end dates for both assets.
  • Pull prices from one data source.
  • Record whether prices are daily closes.

How to compare volatility step by step

A fair comparison holds the method constant. Crypto generally swings more than stocks, but some individual stocks can swing more than a broad index.

  1. 1Choose large-cap crypto and a broad indexPick a large cryptocurrency and a broad stock index, such as the S&P 500, not a tiny coin and one stock.
  2. 2Match the trading calendarCrypto trades every day, while US stock exchanges close on weekends and holidays. Convert crypto prices to the same trading days.
  3. 3Calculate returns and standard deviationFor each asset, divide the price change by the prior close. Use the same formula for the standard deviation of those returns.
  4. 4Compare the two resultsA higher standard deviation means larger price swings over that window, not a better or worse asset.

What to remember after you compare

Write down the dates, data source, and method so you can repeat the test. Volatility describes past price swings. It does not predict future returns or measure all risk.

Frequently asked questions

Crypto markets are generally unregulated, trade around the clock, and can suffer flash crashes or manipulation.

Use the same period for both assets and long enough to include calm and stressed markets.

You can use the same measure, but one coin and one stock can both have unusual swings.

Higher volatility means larger price swings, which can mean larger and faster losses. It is not a complete risk measure.

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Written byVahe HakobyanVahe Hakobyan is the editor-in-chief of World-Crypt. He covers bitcoin, markets and regulation, and leads the newsroom that fact-checks every story before it goes live.